Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000214 0.000239 0.000266 0.000297 0.000332 0.000369 0.000413
2025-01-26 0.000175 0.000209 0.000247 0.000294 0.000350 0.000415 0.000495
2025-02-02 0.000156 0.000197 0.000245 0.000308 0.000388 0.000484 0.000611
2025-02-09 0.000137 0.000182 0.000238 0.000314 0.000414 0.000542 0.000719
2025-02-16 0.000122 0.000169 0.000230 0.000317 0.000437 0.000598 0.000829
2025-02-23 0.000109 0.000156 0.000221 0.000317 0.000454 0.000645 0.000932
2025-03-02 0.000096 0.000143 0.000209 0.000311 0.000463 0.000681 0.001021
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000133 0.000201 0.000309 0.000476 0.000724 0.001124
2025-03-16 0.000079 0.000125 0.000195 0.000309 0.000491 0.000771 0.001237
2025-03-23 0.000072 0.000119 0.000190 0.000311 0.000508 0.000821 0.001358
2025-03-30 0.000066 0.000112 0.000184 0.000309 0.000520 0.000863 0.001468
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000106 0.000179 0.000309 0.000533 0.000909 0.001590
2025-04-13 0.000057 0.000101 0.000175 0.000311 0.000552 0.000968 0.001742
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000094 0.000169 0.000307 0.000561 0.001009 0.001867
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000094 0.000172 0.000321 0.000602 0.001111 0.002116
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000091 0.000170 0.000326 0.000627 0.001187 0.002321
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000087 0.000167 0.000329 0.000649 0.001260 0.002528
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000083 0.000163 0.000328 0.000664 0.001319 0.002712
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000078 0.000157 0.000322 0.000667 0.001356 0.002855
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000074 0.000152 0.000321 0.000678 0.001410 0.003039
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000071 0.000149 0.000321 0.000694 0.001473 0.003250
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000069 0.000147 0.000322 0.000712 0.001544 0.003481
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000065 0.000143 0.000320 0.000722 0.001598 0.003682